Category Archives: point

Mis-informed Citizens contribute to the problem

In America we treasure the right for every citizen to express their point of view, even when it encourages & contributes to a problem only becoming worse. This occurs because of a unwillingness or a apathy towards the labor required to learn the facts before expressing their views.  The May 4 edition of the Country Courier provides a glaring example of the misinformation and ignorance that has facilitated the reckless spending to go unabated. Case in point.

The writer stated that   “  if the BOS wanted to do something positive for education  , they might seek more federal and state monies for KW Schools”.

Now maybe this individual has a personal stake in more money for the schools, a family member may be employed there, he himself might work for the schools, but the question asked is the wrong one.  Just where does this guy think the state and federal money comes from ? The proper question is ………how much money does it take to run the schools efficiently while getting the desired result ? . I doubt this person could answer what the school budget was last year, what amount went to debt service,  has the student population changed the last 10 years, what amount of the school budget goes to salary/benefits, or does KW County with just 4 schools  need a Superintendent and an Assistant Superintendent ?  Those 2 positions alone costs in excess of $270,000 a year combined in salary and benefits .  If they are not necessary how do the children in the schools benefit by this waste ?  But heh, I don’t want to tax his brain too much with questions he probably hasn’t even asked himself.

Maybe this man ought to attend some of our meetings where he would learn that beside Puerto Rico, we have Illinois, New Jersey , California, New York State, and a host of others not far behind in financial collapse. Municipal defaults now range from Atlantic City, Detroit, Stockton Calif, Jefferson County Alabama. Maybe he isn’t aware of the 20 trillion in debt at the Fed level ( where he suggests we go for more money) None of this happened overnight, it wasn’t one bad decision but a series of bad decisions over a long period of time that led to the cities/towns/counties going broke.  Anyone making these types of statements is either very bad at math or woefully ignorant.

Opinions like this mans represent the danger mentioned above when we listen to points of view that originate with the uninformed.  Public sector compensation without a single exception is mentioned in every explanation as to what happened in the States & localities now broke. As we stated on one of our sign messages last year the danger to our children is the……. debt, often times being driven by the policies espoused by those who know nothing of which they speak.

Bob Shannon  King William


Article written by: Tom White

A Trump Presidency will be like Formatting and Reloading America’s Hard Drive

I admit it. I am a geek. I work (among other things) as a full time IT Manager.

I was also an early supporter of Donald Trump as soon as he began to lay out his plan and vision for the nation. And while some of my friends swooned for Ted Cruz, I am still a die hard Trump supporter. And I have been hit with all of the insults, the questions, the “Trump is this or he is not that” lines over and over. I have blocked friends on Facebook and they have blocked me.

But the question I get the most is “Why?” Why do I support Donald Trump?

He isn’t Conservative, they say. He gave money to Hillary. He is anti-gun (only he isn’t).

And I have written several blog posts including Trump Doesn’t Have to be Conservative, Humble or Polite to Fix America that has been read almost 70,000 times since I wrote it a couple of months ago. And all of that is still true. Trump supporters are scolded over and over that Trump isn’t “presidential”. And one truth comes through and frustrates those who are hounding us over and over. We don’t care. (And you know the worst of the worst are the Cruz supporters.)

But it is more than “we don’t care”. It is precisely because he is nothing like the other candidates that appeals to us.

We were subjected to one of the, if not the, largest field of candidates in the history of the nation. You would think that out of all of those people – 17 in all I think – that everyone would find at least a few to their liking. For me, it came down to just two. Cruz and Trump.

And as I listened to both candidates and read gobs of stories and polls about these two, I watched my Conservative friends form a “Y” and it seems half went to Trump and half went to Cruz. And the aggressive interactions, particularly on Facebook, have been legend. In a bad way for Conservative grassroots unity. The Grand Canyon is just a ditch compared to the chasms between the Trump and the Cruz supporters.

And I have talked to a lot of Trump supporters and others that are supporting someone else – or no one at all yet. And the ones that can’t get with the Cruz camp all seem to have a gut feeling about Cruz. There is something fake that I can’t exactly put my finger on about the guy. I am both a Conservative and a Christian and mt Conservative Christian friends that support Cruz demand that I dump Trump because of his infidelities, his Democrat support, or whatever. But to me, Ted Cruz is more Jesus Freak than Conservative. And worse, I don’t get the feeling he is sincere. Same feeling I always had with the TV Evangelists like Jimmy Swaggart. I am not writing this to offend, just to explain what many of us feel.

And then there is Trump. His blustery speeches, his attack, attack, attack persona, his larger than life personality all draw people to him. People like me that are so tired of the “Presidents” that act what we now accept as “presidential”. And the “spirit of bipartisanship” that has bankrupted America. And in Washington, the two party system has essentially merged into one. I believe by design.

One would think that the far left wing Democrat Charlie Rangle would be only too happy to see the Republican Party collapse and disband leaving the Nation with only Progressive Democrats to run the nation into the ground. But Rangle said something the other day that floored me. And it confirmed everything I believe about the people running the country.

He said:

“My concern is the destruction or the imploding of the Republican Party,” he said, Breitbart reported. “They’re so torn apart and as partisan as I am, I really think the salvation of this republic is the two-party system. Democrats need another party in order for people like me to see what we think is best.”
Wow! Charlie Rangle fears America losing the two party system. You know why? The parties take turns raping an pillaging the country. And when the voters have had enough, they throw out the party in power and elect the other party. Lather. Rinse. Repeat. Over and over again.
And that’s how we get to $19 trillion in debt.
If we only had a Conservative. Which is what they said “W” was. Or in Virginia, Bob McDonnell. We have been electing Conservatives who suddenly find their Progressive mojo as soon as the election is over. The problem is, we always elect insiders. Cruz likes to call himself an outsider, but both he and his wife have been big time insiders most of their adult lives. Not so much in an elected capacity, but in the back rooms where the real deals happen.
So the past couple of days I have been working on a server to allow access behind out corporate firewall. Not to get too geeky on you here, but I have tried a couple of flavors of Linux and finally settled on Centos. Then the question was, which version. I have loaded, configured and tested about a half dozen versions and releases of Linux and pulled my hair out trying to get it working the way I want. And I’m still not there yet, but I have the platform figured out. Only I think I will have to format and reload Centos again tomorrow.
One of the things I do often is eradicate viruses and malware from my user’s machines. And I pride myself in being able to clean them without the need to reformat and reload the system from scratch. But every once in a while, it simply becomes futile trying to fix the computer when it reaches the point of no return. Adware or malware can do damage and it eventually becomes irreparable.
Isn’t that what we have done with the government, over and over? Cleaned it, took out the bad malware and tried to continue. And you never really seem to get the bad stuff out. At best, you get it limping along until it crashes again. You don’t throw out the computer. The memory, hard drive and motherboard is fine. You just need to reload the thing and start over.
And that is what we need in America. Remember when you first got your computer? Remember when Americans took pride in their country? We have reached the point that America is all gummed up with special interests, money and life long establishment bureaucrats who pretend things are humming along, but we all know better.
We don’t need to throw out the Constitution and our core values. We just need to format the drive and reload the operating system.
Now that is not going to happen with Ted Cruz and it sure as hell won’t happen with John Kasich. The only one talking about reloading America is Donald Trump.
So if you ask me why I support Trump with all his warts and moles, that’s why. We need to format and reload to fix America. Tinkering will not work at this point. We are too far gone.
Control. Alt. Delete.

Article written by: Tom White

Ted Cruz May Be Mathematically Eliminated On or Before April 26, 2016 – State by State Analysis

Bad news for supporters of Ted Cruz in the 2016 Presidential nominating contest. Cruz may be mathematically eliminated as early as April 19, 2016 and there is a nearly 100% chance he will be eliminated by April 26, 2016. And at that point, Cruz will have zero chance of being the Republican nominee. It is a matter of simple mathematics.

The magic number of delegates remaining that Donald Trump and John Kasich need to win in order to eliminate Cruz as the nominee is 211. (Kasich is already mathematically eliminated.) And keep in mind that a number of the delegates are unbound, meaning they are not required to vote for any particular candidate at the Convention. So the 211 figure includes the unbound delegates and once 211 bound delegates are won by Trump and Kasich, Cruz will be eliminated no matter how the unbound vote. And even if Cruz were to win all of the unbound delegates, which will not happen, he still cannot reach the 1,237 majority to win the nomination.

Let’s take a look at the numbers and the upcoming contests.

It takes a total of 1,237 delegates plus a majority of delegates in at least 8 states to win the nomination going in to the Republican Convention. (More on the 8 states later.)

At this point, after the March 15 Super Tuesday Part 3 where Trump won 5 of the 6 contests, the delegate count stands at 673 for Trump and 411 for Cruz. Since Kasich is already mathematically eliminated, his only role is spoiler, so we will not worry about his numbers for the scope of this article. A caveat here. Missouri has been declared for Trump and the delegate allocation has been awarded by the GOP as 37 for Trump and 15 for Cruz. However, since the totals in Missouri are within the range for a recount, and some issues seem to remain even though 100% of the precincts have reported, most news organizations are awarding Trump 25 delegates and Cruz 5 pending the final outcome. So if Missouri stands as the GOP has called it, Trump actually has 685 delegates and Cruz has 421. So we could be looking at 221 for the Cruz elimination number. But for now, we will stick with the 211 number.

There are 1,026 delegates remaining (including a number of unbound). In order to win, Trump needs 544 of the 1,026 and Cruz needs 815.

The next contests are on Tuesday March 22. They are in Arizona and Utah.

March 22, 2015

Arizona

There are not a lot of polls in Arizona but the two that exist, both taken this month, show Trump with a 12 point and a 14 point lead. In the older polls going back to August, 2015 Trump has held a double digit lead in 5 of the 6 polls, with only 1 poll showing a lead for another candidate, which was Carson. Arizona is a winner take all state and the popular former Governor Jan Brewer has endorsed Donald Trump. Based on the polls, Trump should win all 58 Arizona delegates. Subtract this number from the 211 needed to eliminate Cruz and the magic number for the block is 153.

Utah

Utah is a proportional state with 40 delegates. There are 2 polls, one from January and one from February. These polls show Rubio, Cruz and Trump are all very close, within the margin of error. One poll has Rubio up 2 points and the other has Cruz up 1 point. Kasich was in the low single digits. Carson was in the mix in January and February and is gone. And Rubio was doing well in the state and is also gone. It is hard to say where the votes will go, but as this is a proportional state, we may be looking at a pretty even outcome and Cruz may have a chance of a win here. But it is proportional. Utah awards all 40 delegates if one candidate receives 50% or more. Since none of the candidates polled higher than 24%, it is not likely one candidate will take all of the delegates. The most likely scenario will have the remaining 3 candidates split the delegates. As long as Kasich receives at least 15%, we will split the votes evenly 3 ways with the winner receiving 14 and the other 2 receiving 13 delegates each. Let’s assume Cruz wins Utah and we give him the extra delegate. Which means the magic number to eliminate Cruz is 153 minus the total delegates for Trump and Kasich combined (26) which comes to 127.

Delegate Count After 3/22/2016:

Trump 744

Cruz     425

Needed to eliminate Cruz – 127

 

April 5, 2016

Wisconsin

Wisconsin is the lone state holding a primary on April 5. They have a total of 42 delegates allocated by 8 congressional districts and another 18 goes to the statewide winner. Each COngressional District gets 3 delegates in a winner take all by district. Polls are about the same as Utah so we don’t have a lot of data to go on (1 in January and 1 in February). But Trump was leading in both polls by 6 and 10 points. Rubio was second and Cruz was third in both. Carson was still in and polling around 8. Again, it is hard to say where the Rubio and Carson votes go, but Kasich is not likely to win any congressional districts as of today. But we will award the 18 to Trump as the likely state wide winner and while I think Cruz may win 2 or 3 congressional districts, let’s give him 4 here. So Trump wins 30 delegates and Cruz 12.

Delegate Count After 4/5/2016:

Trump 770

Cruz     437

Needed to eliminate Cruz – 97

 

April 19, 2016

New York

Donald Trump’s home state. A brand new poll out today shows Donald Trump with a commanding 52 point lead. Trump is at 64% with Cruz in second at 12%. Kasich is at 1%. New York is a proportional state with 3 delegates per congressional district. The threshold to award delegates is 20%. Even if we are generous and say Cruz will come in second place with at least 20% of the vote in 5 districts, after allocating the additional 11 delegates awarded to the overall winner, Trump wins 87 delegates and Cruz 5 out of 92. Kasich wins none.

After the March 22 primary there are only 2 contests in the next month. Candidates will have 2 weeks to campaign before the Wisconsin primary and another 2 weeks before New York. I figure Trump will be talking about Cruz “New York Values” comments constantly to New Yorkers during that time.

Delegate Count After 4/19/2016:

Trump 857

Cruz     442

Needed to eliminate Cruz – 10

 

If I have been too generous to Cruz on some of these contests, Cruz may be eliminated at this point. If not, read on.

April 26, 2016

There are 5 contests on April 26 with a total of 172 delegates up for grabs. More or less. Pennsylvania is a strange bird this year. More on this below.

Connecticut

No polling this year for Connecticut but the polls last year showed Trump with a +18 point average. Trump won Massachusetts, Vermont and New Hampshire. Cruz won Maine but has placed 3rd in New Hampshire and 4th in the VT and MA. Kasich has done better in the New England states than Cruz with the exception of Maine. I see no way Cruz wins a single Congressional District here and Kasich could win 1 potentially, probably not. So we will award Trump 4 of the 5 CD’s at 3 delegates each and the 13 statewide that go to the winner. That gives Trump 25 and Kasich 3.

At this point, Cruz is mathematically eliminated from the nomination. And we still have 4 states to go on 4/26.

Delaware

Delaware is a winner take all state with 16 delegates. There are no polls listed on Real Clear Politics but several polls show Trump with a sizable lead and it is unlikely anyone but Trump gets these 16 delegates.

Maryland

Maryland is another winner take all by Congressional District state with 38 delegates. There are 8 CD’s and a 14 delegate bonus for the overall winner. There are only 2 polls this year. One from early January showing Trump up by 17 and one this month showing Trump ahead by 9. Trump will most likely win Maryland and I see kasich and Cruz possibly winning 2 or 3 of the 8 districts, but Trump wins the state. Delegate count Trump +28, Kasich +6, Cruz +3.

Rhode Island

Rhode Island has only 19 delegates and they are proportionally allocated. Trump is ahead by 18% in the only poll this year which shows Rubio 2nd, Kasich 3rd and Cruz 4th. Rubio is gone so it is hard to say where his voters will go, but it really doesn’t matter in this state as delegates are awarded to everyone who gets at least 10% of the vote. And I think that is a safe bet. So each candidate will receive 1 vote per CD of the 3 allocated per CD and there are 2 Congressional Districts. In addition, the extra 13 are allocated proportionally with the fractions going to the winner. So Trump will get 5 at large delegates and Cruz and Kasich will each get 3. Totals – Trump +7, Cruz +6 and Kasich 6.

Pennsylvania

If there were an award for the strangest delegate allocation process, Pennsylvania would be in contention. PA has a total of 71 delegates and 54 are allocated by congressional district, with each of the 18 CD’s receiving 3 delegates. That much is pretty common. Here is where the gallon of strange comes in. The delegates themselves are the ones running. They are undeclared not bound to any candidate. Trump is up by double digits and stands to win the 17 at large delegates bound for the first round to the statewide winner. So the big wild card will be in knowing who to vote for in each CD. And then trying to figure out how they will vote at the Convention. I think the only thing that we can say about PA is that Trump will win the 17 delegates and the other 54 are up in the air.

 

Delegate Count After 4/26/2016:

Trump 950

Cruz     451

Needed to eliminate Cruz – MINUS 70

So at this point, Cruz is no longer mathematically able to arrive at the 1,237 votes necessary to win the nomination and either on 4/19 or without a doubt by 4/26 will have no path to the nomination. And like Kasich, all he can do is try to block Donald Trump from winning the 1,237 delegates. So we may have 2 spoilers and one candidate when all is said and done after the April 26 dust clears.

Below, we will run through the remaining contests to see if Trump can still get to the 1,237. But first, let’s take a look at the Rule called 40b.

Rule 40B

In 2011, the establishment Romney backers wanted to ensure Ron Paul would have no possibility of winning the nomination by leveraging his delegates and doing something, but they weren’t sure what. So they decided that in order to receive votes at the Convention in 2012 you must win the majority of delegates in at least 8 states. And if you did not win a majority of delegates in at least 8 states, your name shall not appear on the ballots at the convention. So eat that Ron Paul! You can’t win no matter what you do and we just took away your leverage.

But the Republicans are not known as the Stupid Party for nothing. At this point, Donald Trump, the one they want to stop the most, already has his 8 states with a majority of delegates. This means that you take the total number of delegates awarded in a state and divide that by 2. In many states, as in Delaware above, nobody won a majority of delegates. Even though I declared Trump the winner, he didn’t reach 50% of the 19 delegates – which is 10 for those using Common Core math. Trump only gets 7. But in the states where Trump took all, this counts as one of the 8 state wins with >50% of the delegates. At this point, Trump has reached this milestone, Cruz has 4 and Kasich just 1.

But there are still 10 states to go. The problem is, 5 of them are proportional and 5 are winner take all. It will be difficult to win >50% in the proportional states, so the Winner Take All states become very key to Cruz and the odds of winning the lottery are far better than Kasich winning a majority of delegates in 7 of the 10 remaining contests (after April 26). Cruz needs only4 to qualify to be on the ballot, but that is a stretch. And we already know Cruz will not arrive at the 1,237 delegates. And there are not a lot of Cruz friendly states remaining.

So the problem for the GOPe becomes that Trump, even if he falls short of the 1,237 delegates, and assuming Cruz does not get 8 state majority wins, is th eonly name that can appear on the ballot at the Convention. No matter how many rounds the voting goes, there can be only one name on the ballot.

Unless they change the rules in the middle of the game to put someone like Romney or Ryan on the ballot. They will not have 8 state wins. And the problem becomes that the candidates who have spent a year or more running for the nomination set their strategy based on the rules. If there were not an 8 state requirement, their strategy may have been very different. Instead of spending time in some states, they would have concentrated more on others. They tried to stack the deck and now it has come back to bite them. Changing the rules this late in the game to nominate a RINO will destroy the Republican Party and we can kiss the House and Senate goodbye. Not to mention the White House. And the Country.

But let’s run out the remaining states to see what we can expect. Of course, momentum sometimes takes over and Trump may do far better than expected, like a snowball rolling down a hill. But we will ignore those dynamics.

May 3, 2016

Indiana

Indiana has 57 delegates. They are allocated winner take all by CD with 9 CD’s. There are also 30 delegates that go to the winner of the statewide election. Kasich is the local boy here and did very well in Ohio. Cruz and Rubio were not even close in Ohio and I don’t think they will do a lot better in Indiana. Although there are more evangelicals in Indiana than Ohio. I think Trump will probably win the statewide race and several of the CD’s, but let’s just say Kasich picks up the win, the at large delegates and Trump and Cruz each win 3 CD’s. The Delegate count would be Kasich 39, Trump 9, Cruz 9.

Indiana is the only race on May 3.

Delegate Count After 5/3/2016:

Trump 959

Cruz     460

 

May 10, 2016

Nebraska

Nebraska is a winner take all by state (not CD). Whoever gets the most votes statewide wins the 36 delegates. There are no polls on RCP but a couple of polls that are out there show Trump ahead by 10 – 15. But given Cruz wins in the neighboring states, we will award this one to Cruz. Winner take all and Cruz gets 36.

West Virginia

West Virginia has 31 delegates up for grabs and 3 at large. WV has 3 CD’s and each will have 3 delegates running in each district with their own names and presidential preference. The three winning the most votes in each district will go to the Convention for their candidate. An additional 22 delegates go to the statewide winner and 3 at large are bound to the statewide winner. This is coal country. Kasich does not stand a chance in the Mountain state. In a February poll, Trump was up by 20. Trump wins all 34 delegates.

Delegate Count After 5/10/2016:

Trump 993

Cruz     496

 

May 17, 2016

Oregon

Oregon has 28 delegates and they are a winner take all state. The voting is done by mail and the ballots must be in by 8PM on May 17. Postmarks do not count. There is not a lot of polling in Oregon and none of it is recent. However, from what data exists, Trump should be the winner and all 28 delegates will go to him.

Delegate Count After 5/17/2016:

Trump 1021

Cruz      496

 

May 24, 2016

Washington

Washington has 44 delegates and they are allocated proportionally by Congressional District with 3 per district and 14 statewide bonus delegates. Polls are, like all of the later states, sparse. But in several polls Donald Trump is leading. Trump will win Oregon but will most likely not receive 50% or more in many districts. Kasich will be shut out. Trump will win the 14 statewide delegates and 2 out of 3 in each of the 10 districts. Trump +34 delegates and Crux +10.

Delegate Count After 5/24/2016:

Trump 1055

Cruz      506

 

June 7, 2016

The final day for Republican primaries and it is a big one with 5 states up for grabs and a total of 303 delegates which is a quarter of the number needed to win. And Trump needs 182 of them to win the nomination outright at this point.

 California

California has a whopping 172 delegates and the delegates are allocated proportionally by Congressional District. And there are 53 districts with 3 delegates each. Each CD is winner take all, so the candidate that receives the most votes gets all 3 delegates. Polling has Trump ahead by an average of 10.5% and most internet polls (of some use) show Trump ahead in every district. I believe Trump has a good chance of winning all 53 districts, but to stay on the conservative side, let’s give Cruz and Kasich 10 CD’s each. Trump wins 33 CD’s, the 10 State Delegates and the 3 leadership delegates. Totals: Trump  112 delegates, Cruz and Kasich 30 each.

Montana

Montana has 27 delegates and is a winner take all. Another state with almost no polling but what is out there shows Trump up by double digits. Trump will win all 27.

New Jersey

New Jersey has 51 delegates and is a winner take all state. And with a double digit lead in the polls, Chris Christie stumping for Trump and the fact Trump is a New Yorker, all 51 delegates will go to Trump.

New Mexico

New Mexico has 24 delegates proportionally allocated with a minimum of 15% to receive a share of the delegates. Cruz will probably win the state, but it will be close. Being generous, we will give Cruz 40% and Trump and Kasich 30% each. Cruz  10 delegates, Trump and Kasich 7 each.

South Dakota

South Dakota has 29 delegates and is a winner take all state. No polling at all in RCP but internet polls show Trump ahead. The same polling shows Rubio in second place and Cruz in third. I can’t see Cruz or Kasich taking South Dakota. Trump wins 29 delegates.

Delegate Count After 6/7/2016:

Trump 1281

Cruz      546

 

Pennsylvania Revisited

Pennsylvania has 54 delegates to allocate, but as you read above about PA, these delegates are themselves running as delegates without identifying the candidate they will vote for. But one thing is for sure. In the Western part of the state, coal mining is a big thing. Kasich may have won Ohio, but he did not win the Eastern or Southern part of the state. Eastern Ohio borders Pennsylvania and West Virginia. And Eastern PA shares a border with New Jersey. Trump was up by 17 points in a poll taken earlier this month and Rubio was second. I don’t know how many delegates will be for Trump in PA, but it is a safe bet that the majority of the 54 unknown delegates will go to Trump.

Conclusion

It is difficult to see a path for Ted Cruz to win the required majority of delegates in 8 states, let alone 1,237 delegates even if a few states go to Cruz that I have as Trump states. Utah may be one of those where Cruz will bring in all of the delegates and get another of the 8 required states. And if that happens, Cruz would gain 26 delegates with Trump losing half of those I have allocated. A poll that came out yesterday in Utah conducted by a guy that A) Hates Trump and B) Worked for Jeb Bush and is an obvious establishment guy showing Cruz above 50% and Trump under 15%. (Read my analysis here.) But a brand new poll out just this morning (Monday May 21, 2016) shows what I believe is a more accurate measure. Cruz 42, Trump 21, Kasich 13. I believe Kasich will hit the 15% threshold and the votes will be split as I showed above. But if Kasich fails to get the 15%, Trump and Cruz will both get more delegates.

Time will tell but it is quite obvious that Ted Cruz will not make it to 1,237 delegates by any stretch of the numbers. And I don’t see Cruz winning the required 8 states. And my count shows Trump will be over the required minimum delegates by 44 with more delegates from PA that will definitely add to his totals (and buffer any short counts in my analysis).

There will be no “brokered” convention. Trump will win it outright. With delegates to spare.


Article written by: Tom White

Trump Doesn’t Have to be Conservative, Humble or Polite to Fix America

DonaldIn most elections I find myself gravitating to the most Conservative candidate. I have supported Conservatives for every level of office. Sometimes my pick wins, sometimes not.

Now I don’t fall for that “most Conservative that can win” claptrap. That is a dog whistle call for a RINO. They believe that chasing after the Democrats to remain “centrist” is the way to win and keep office. And they are now well past the point the entire Democratic Party was a couple of decades ago.

I think all of my Conservative friends today would gladly follow a leader who said “Ask not what your country can do for you…”. JFK, if he were alive today would no doubt be branded a far right Tea Party whack job by the Media and the Democrats. Today’s Democrats say “Ask what we can do for you we are not already doing”. And the RINO’s are reaching across the imperceptible aisle to be just like them. Only less.

But the biggest reason I work to elect Conservatives is that they are less likely to be completely compromised by big money. It is rare when even the most Conservative of politicians does not succumb to the enticing call of the US Chamber of Commerce and Wall Street with the long number of zeros on the checks they dangle in front of their eyes. A candidate that is Conservative will still be compromised, but not to the extent of, say, Eric Cantor. He became quite adroit in the art of illusion. And there are a lot more examples. $19 trillion worth to be exact.

Conservatives bend, lesser men break to the wiles and seduction of the Almighty Dollar, and the strings that come with it.

When I looked at the field of candidates running for President on the GOP side, I immediately cast off all of them but Cruz. Ben Carson never seemed to have what I was looking for and being a Computer and IT guy Carly Fiorina was someone I remember from HP. A definite no.

And I also wrote off Donald Trump. I even think I wrote a snarky blog post about him not being a serious candidate and expected him to flirt with the idea of running for attention.

But an unexpected thing happened in the midst of Trump’s successful flirtation with the prospect of running and announcing he was, indeed, running. Now I do not believe for one second Donald Trump ever expected he would be leading the GOP field by large margins for 9 months running. And I do not think Trump walked into his first rally, or which ever rally it was, with a prepared strategy. But something happened on the stage that day. Something happened to the crowd, but more importantly, something happened to Donald Trump.

He said we would build a wall. And the crowd exploded with applause and cheers. I think that was the defining moment when Trump found the pulse of an America that has been battered and abused by the government. By both parties. He realized that America was mad as hell and was looking for someone to lead them into not taking it anymore.

And that was the beginning of Trump’s strategy that coincided with the decline of Jeb Bush and dashed the hopes of RINO’s everywhere that had counted on the fact that it was theigen-stonewall-jackson-1ar turn to take over the screwing of America. To most people caught in the middle, the Republicans and the Democrats have been playing a tag team match and the American People were the victims.

I imagine that the day Stonewall Jackson earned his nickname was the same type of moment. “There stands General Jackson like a stone wall. Rally behind the Virginians!”

So a man who has perfected the New York persona – loud, narcissistic, pompous, arrogant – and more – stood head and shoulders above the politicians and poked the establishment in the eye. And the nose and eventually the gut. I imagine that as the platform moved from an accidental off the cuff “build the wall” statement to the current list of populist grievances, no one was more surprised at this than Trump. He found the pulse of a large swath of the formerly silent majority and they are angry with where America has gone. They are furious at the loss of freedom and they blame the Republicans who promised to fix it. And failed. Hell, they never even tried.

Trump is, I truly believe, the accidental candidate. The most unlikely front runner. And the man that scares the hell out of Republicans, Democrats and the Media. But is surrounded by masses of adoring fans. And the energy is real. And the anticipation is unlike anything I have ever seen in the political world. I had the opportunity to speak at a Trump rally in Manassas Va a few weeks ago and the crowd was alive. And when Donald Trump finally arrived, Elvis would have been impressed with the reaction.

And when you add in the fact that Donald Trump is self funding, and 100% immune to corrupt influences and slavery of big money, how could anyone who cares about America not support Donald Trump? Is it his New York Persona? His New York Values?

If you were to sit down and make a list of what you want the next President to accomplish, what would you write?

Well, here is my list:

  • Stop nation building and constant wars. These countries are not ready nor are they compatible with Democracy. And America today is no shining example of Democracy anyway.
  • Our military has become a joke under Obama. We are weak and ill prepared.
  • Let’s have a foreign policy built on strength instead of leading from behind.
  • Terrorists belong in Gitmo. Not the US court system.
  • Stop the currency manipulation from China.
  • Treat OPEC like an organized crime mob. An oil cartel is no different than a drug cartel.
  • Secure the freaking border. Build a wall. And enforce the laws already on the books.
  • Repeal Obamacare and replace it with a well thought out plan and limit lawsuits.
  • Fix the out of control spending.
  • But take care of our people and keep the promises of Medicare and Social Security.
  • Reform welfare (again). The reforms from the Clinton Administration are gone and we have massively increased welfare.
  • Climate Change is a hoax. Kill it.
  • Common Core should be scrapped.
  • Stop funding abortionists
  • Leave my guns the hell alone.
  • Let states decide who can marry whom.
  • Stop refugees until we can properly vet them. Better yet, kill ISIS and send them all home.
  • Protect Christianity. Jews and Christians are being killed all over the world by Muslims. That MUST stop.
  • Make Political Correctness politically incorrect.
  • Jobs. We need jobs, jobs and jobs. Bring them back!

FixItThere are more, but this is enough to start on. This is what Trump plans to do. America has told him that we need these things fixed. Donald Trump has a long career of solving problems and making money. Under budget and ahead of schedule.

When Trump said most of these things, many in the GOP and the media said that he was done. He crossed the line. But his poll numbers rose with each line.

And the detractors are screaming from every corner. So, just for the record, I will set things straight.

  • I don’t care if Trump gave money to Hillary, Harry Reid, Pelosi or whoever. He didn’t give them money to help them, he gave to help himself and his business. Purely selfish reasons. He buys politicians. That is good business. NOw I would take issue with his donations if I thought he wanted to help people like Pelosi and Hillary.
  • I don’t care if Trump is not very Conservative. I don’t need him to be conservative, just fix the things on my list. Big money is not going to own him.
  • I don’t care if Trump is not a good Christian. I’m not saying he is not, I wouldn’t make that judgement. But he understands that Christians and Jews are under siege and he plans to put a stop to it. His relationship with God is between him and Him.
  • I don’t care if Trump has New York Values. I don’t even know what that means. Just fix the stuff on my list.
  • I don’t care if Trump is rude, crude and socially unacceptable. Just fix the stuff on my list.
  • I don’t care if you call me or Trump a racist, nativist, xenophobe, homophobe, or jerk. Just fix the stuff on my list.
  • I don’t care if Trump is in favor of eminent domain. He believes the land owners should be well compensated. You can’t build the Keystone Pipeline without it. But it is not something a president would use. Just fix the stuff on my list.

So for all of the people who support some other candidate and can’t figure why us Trump supporters don’t give a rip about all those reasons you keep tossing out expecting us to run away from Trump, I don’t care. We don’t care.

The list. Remember?

And then there is that little issue of the Republicans lying to us again and again and again. The reason Trump, Carson and Fiorina polled so well was their status as outsiders. Even Cruz gets a bit of street cred as an outsider despite his couple of years in the Senate as a Republican.

President is a completely different animal than any other office. We need as many Conservatives as possible in the House and Senate to fend off the liberals. The more the merrier. But the sad truth is, even an A+ Conservative like Dave Brat who has not allowed the Big Money puppeteers to attach their strings to his votes, they are unable to change a lot of things because they are pushed away because they do not play the game. They have a hard time raising money and are ostracized and isolated by their big money controlled colleagues. They may be Republicans, but they face a tough fight every day.

And the intent of this post is not to bash Cruz, but he can expect the same treatment if he were president as Dave Brat and the rest of the Conservatives. A President Cruz would not have to fight the Democrats nearly as hard as he would have to fight the Republicans. He called McConnell a liar on the Senate floor. McConnell is a liar, but that is one bridge Cruz has burned. Obama has found a soulmate in McConnell, Boehner and now Ryan. Cruz will find it hard to accomplish anything at all with the present makeup of Congress.

Trump, on the other hand, has given money to a lot of politicians. Left and Right. And he is a master with the press. If he had to shut down the government to implement my list, the press would trump-hatbe powerless to blame the Republicans or Trump. He simply won’t let that happen.

So you can hate Trump if you want, make fun of his hair, his religion, his New York values or anything else you want. But no one else has promised to work on my list of objectives. No one else has the proven successful track record of Trump. And no one else is able to own the press and his detractors like Donald Trump.

Which is why I say Donald Trump doesn’t have to be Conservative, Humble or Polite to Fix America.

He just has to execute the repairs. Preferably under budget and ahead of schedule.

And I truly believe Donald Trump can and will Make America Great Again!

 


Article written by: Tom White

Bill Bolling: A Case Study in Classic Delusional RINO-ism

RINO WINE

RINO WINE

We have a lot of RINO’s in Virginia. And in the nation as a whole. RINO’s – Republicans in Name Only – are responsible for the leftward lurch of the Republican Party. And one thing I have noticed is that they all believe themselves to be Conservatives and they all believe they are moderate Republicans. I am convinced that they actually do really believe this.

But I think the area where they are fooling themselves is in the way they measure the terms moderate and Conservative.

Their measuring stick is not based on the Constitution, nor is it based on a constant and stationary point on the political spectrum. Rather, it is based on the current position of the Democrats. They self-define Moderate and Conservative as being just a little to the right of the Democrats (and the media). And I think even the RINO’s would quickly admit that the Democrats are and have been racing to the left at such a pace that they are now indistinguishable from Socialists. Or Marxists, take your pick. And a valid argument could be made that they have moved so far to the left that Socialism and Marxism are almost Conservative values as far as the Democrats are concerned. Certainly the Democrats consider their far left Party of today to be the new mainstream, which is constantly in motion leftward.

So the Republicans, many of whom are staunch followers and lovers of Ronald Reagan, have become followers, constantly moving left. Ever chasing the Democrats further and further to the left in an effort to remain moderate, as measured by the Democrat’s political position du jour.

And when the RINO’s stop and take a look at where most of the people in the Republican Party are politically today from the vantage point of their constantly leftward moving position, they see those of us who have stood our ground, or misguidedly followed the RINO’s to the left for a while and corrected our course, as far right wing extremists. They believe we have moved to the right, when it is they who have moved.

It is impossible to know if the RINO’s position on Conservatives is one of deception or delusion. Or perhaps a combination of both.

Politicians in general are masters of deception. For example, Eric Cantor delivered his speeches about smaller, limited government, balanced budgets and Conservative principles with aplomb. He sounded sincere and fooled a lot of people for a long time. But when you examined his record you understand that politicians are quite accomplished in saying one thing and doing another while using sleight of hand show votes to fool the people at home. Cantor would point to dozens of votes to repeal Obamacare, for instance, none of which ever stood a chance of becoming law, while funding the Health Care Leviathan as keeper of the purse. And Paul Ryan has already mastered this art as he points to the legislation to repeal Obamacare and de-fund Planned Parenthood that he sent to Obama’s desk. Which was promptly vetoed. And now Ryan promises a veto override that has exactly zero chance of passing.

More theater. More show voted that mean nothing. But they fool the people at home.

The RINO’s are fooled at least.

Eric Cantor was shown the door last year. We know what he was doing.

Now it would be incorrect of me to write that the Republican Party has become more conservative since Obama came into office in 2009. A lot of us were blindly following the Republican leadership as they chased after the Democrats sprinting to the left. A lot of sleeping Republicans woke up and realized we were following so called leaders who were not leading, but rather were following the Democrats down Socialism Highway.

We put on the brakes and went back to the starting blocks. Back to the old time Conservatism of Ronald Reagan. And yes, we shunned the Progressive “Conservatism” as redefined almost daily by the RINO Contingency of the Republican Party.

But this weekend, I was astonished to read a Facebook post by Virginia’s former two term Lt. Governor Bill Bolling.

Bolling is one of those RINO’s who has been drifting left for years and seems blissfully ignorant of his leftward lunge. Perhaps it was more subtle than a lunge. We can just call it a leftward drift.

Now Bolling has come to despise those of us that are true Conservatives. He is oblivious of the fact that he has been in hot pursuit of the now Socialist Democrats in an effort to remain a moderate mainstream Republican. You see, he believes the equally Socialistic Media that says Republican must be “moderates” in order to win elections. Bolling has reached a point in his political prism that he finds Democrats like Terry McAuliffe more his politically ideological mate than the Conservatives in his own party. He even shunned Conservative Republican Ken Cuccinelli (along with many of his fellow RINO’s) and at the very least put up no resistance to the McAuliffe victory. At worse, he helped the Democrats win.

So does it really come as a surprise to learn the Bolling also despises GOP front-runner Donald Trump and runner up Ted Cruz? It shouldn’t.

Bill posted this on Facebook Sunday:

Bill Bolling FacebookWhen I saw that, I headed straight for the comments section to have my say on this delusional post. Ronald Reagan would have demanded Bolling be kicked out of the party.

Bolling and the candidates he has supported have put this country $19 trillion in debt, nearly 1/3 of the nation is not working and the entire country is a racial and political powder keg on the verge of a meltdown.

The “fears” that he is talking about and the “division” in America are due to the policies his RINO buddies have allowed. Or instigated. Amnesty, refugees, illegal aliens, debt and a massive federal government are the RINO legacy. And the candidates that support these atrocities are not responsible candidates, they are irresponsible big government Progressive Republicans who will do nothing to change the spiral of destruction we are in, but will support the status quo.

Bolling is completely incapable of understanding that the appeal of Trump and Cruz by Republicans is a complete and utter rebuke of the “moderate, mainstream” Republicanism that has guided America to the brink of total destruction. Since Reagan left office, Bush the Elder and Bush the Younger were the direct cause of the Clintons and Obama.

Debt, wars, death and destruction has been the path America has been sprinting down. Be a Bush or a Clinton or an Obama. America has lost her soul since Reagan left.

You can blame it on the Democrats all you want, but without the assistance and acquiescence of the Republican Party that Bill Bolling thinks has been responsible this could not have happened. His “responsible” candidate, no doubt another Bush or Rubio, or worse, would indeed be responsible. Responsible for more debt, wars, death and destruction. His “responsible” candidates will not do a single thing to reverse the course we are on.

Yea. That was what I wanted to say. But you know what? I didn’t have to. Dozens of people had already responded and said it all. And much more. And there were a few RINO’s that agreed with Bolling, but they were a tiny minority.

Here are some of the responses. I will leave out the names, but this post is still up on Facebook. See for yourself here.

  • People are discouraged with politicians.
  • The people are trying to send a message, they’re tired and want change, real change not just words
  • How can anyone vote straight party lines when you tells us one thing an do another.People are so fed up with the status quo and the do nothing Washington takes care of themselves an not the voters shame on you.Its not fear that is driving people to Trump its Washington. He has enough money he can’t be bought like so many in Washington.97000 people are no longer in the work force,Welfare is thriving.It pays to be illegal.Veterans aren’t being taken care of,500 day wait to be evaluated .This country is a mess.I’m sick of the politicians double talk .Hopefully term limits will be set on these lifer dead beats
  • If the Republican Party would listen to the people instead of business as usual and doing nothing but trying their job.
  • That’s what ALL politicians do Virginia, tell people what they WANT to hear. How many other jobs can you work for 2-6 years and come out a millionaire.
  • Ted Cruz is the True conservative here. The Republican establishment is afraid of him.
  • The Republican party needs to get its act together and quit acting like Democrats. People are tired of being lied to.
  • Cruz isn’t a conservative. Not when he supports govt. overreach instead of the citizens in Oregon.
    The Republican party will continue to be a party of losers as long as it tries to be the same thing as Democrats, except for taking stands on social issues that are backward and turn people off. Republicans say one thing, but they govern exactly like Democrats. People know this. And people are angry enough that they’re willing to hang their hopes on a guy like Trump – who might well build the fence, but he’ll be just as statist as the rest.
  • What they say about Trump they used to say about Reagan in 76
  • The party can’t get out a message to save it’s life. LIke it or not, Trump’s been the loudest message ever heard.
  • Bottom line is most Americans are tired of the establishment, myself included…the narrowing margins are ridiculous, John Boehner is a disgrace, Paul Ryan isn’t much better, the RNC is out of touch, and the old guard on both sides care more about their respective political affiliations than the American people. In response to what most Americans fear, their fear is real and continues to be validated….that’s what happened to the party.
  • It is because Trump and Cruz are saying the things we are all seeing.
  • I think the GOP is a lost cause due to it’s lack of leadership
  • America is tired of the PARTY no matter which side you are on! They care about America not the PARTY! If the Congress, Senate and President did the same we wouldn’t be in the state we are in and going down the road we are going! We are all tired of our elected officials just wanting to do what is best for themselves! Trump is a business man and really knows more about dealing foreign Gov.s than any other candidate that I have seen! I agree it is scary but the raod we are on isn’t getting America anywhere but wrecked!
  • I do not believe anyone in our party loves Mr. Reagan and what be stood for more than me, but remember he was the outsider when be ran, the establishment wanted Bush. I don’t think the problem is with what the party finds conservative, it is what the establishment t wants to call conservative. Like it or not Trump is simply brave enough to say what most of us are thinking and the pc police tell us we cannot. I will also remind you, Trex was sent to Washington as a VP so the political establishment could nuetralize him. He seems to have been OK as President.
  • Bill, I can answer that question. We’ve been ignored for 4-7 years and we are in search of a leader. It doesn’t appear anyone can bring a stop to the Socialism agenda on the current team…..
  • The party left Reagan a long time ago.
  • The Republican party is to blame for Trump. They were given a shot in 2010 and have done nothing. Said they needed the Senate. We gave them the Senate and they have done nothing. They just keep giving in to obama without anything in return and he keeps blaming them for all that’s broken. We want someone that will stand up for our values. Is there risk? Yes but at this point no one is stepping up. Bush has shown us just how weak he is. The people like Cruz and Paul have been demonized by the mainstream GOP. Let’s face it, it is time for change.

And there are many, many more.

You see, Bill, you represent the failures of the last couple of decades. Your Milquetoast brand of “Conservatism” is an ever changing experiment in redefinition. People have blindly followed the GOP for years. Like robots (or Cantor Zombies) marching to the polls, voting straight Republican and expecting things to get better. Expecting Republicans to keep their promises. Can’t you see it? We have supported losers like McCain and Romney. We supported “W” and he managed to make Obama appealing. Nothing will change if we nominated Bush, Rubio, Christie, Kasich or any of the RINO pack. It will be more of the same.

Trump, Cruz, Carson and Fiorina have had such appeal because they are not moderate mainstream Republicans who are responsible for the state we find ourselves in.

We tried it your way. We followed you. In your second administration Republicans were given the three top offices in Virginia. We ended up with the largest tax hike in Virgin9ia history and a governor who is praying the Supreme Court will hear his corruption case and keep him out of jail.

In 2010 we gave Republicans the House and took the gavel from Nancy Pelosi. In 2014 we added the Senate to the Republican column. And what has changed?

Nothing! Not a damn thing.

John Boehner squandered his power and it became his downfall. The Senate has done absolutely nothing. Paul Ryan gave Obama everything he dreamed of and more. Pelosi and Harry Reid marveled at the stupidity of the Republicans cave on the Omnibus bill and wouldn’t have dared to spend money that recklessly. Your “responsible” RINO’s were ridiculed by the likes of Pelosi and Reid for their spending. And it was not even Conservative spending. It was the left’s bucket list.

And Cruz is being rewarded for having the stones to shut down the government over Conservative principles. And what do you do, Bolling? You ridicule him. You promise Dave Brat that you will not forget his “betrayal” in voting against Boehner. Brat actually listened to the voters, something the 7th District was not accustomed to under the Cantor machine.

The people who are supporting Trump and Cruz want a candidate that will address the problems facing America.

We have a president now who is proud of leading from behind. But what Americans find even more disgusting than “leading from behind” is leaders who chase Democrats.

We are fed up. We have watched the RINO Republicans fail to deliver on a single promise over and over again.

This time we have choices. This time we have an opportunity to actually elect a candidate that won’t cave in as soon as he is elected.

You may remember Conservatives who vote against the status quo, but America remembers the lies and broken promises you “moderate” Republicans have inflicted on her.

And God willing the Republican Party will soon turn back to the true Conservatism that is Ronald Reagan’s legacy.


Article written by: Tom White

Hanover Republicans Peace and Peterson Ducking Debates – The Cantor Lesson Didn’t Go Too Far

There is only one word that can describe elected representatives who refuse to answer to the people that put them in their position. Arrogant.

ar·ro·gant
ˈerəɡənt/
adjective
adjective: arrogant
  1. having or revealing an exaggerated sense of one’s own importance or abilities.
    “he’s arrogant and opinionated”
    synonyms: haughty, conceited, self-important, egotistic, full of oneself, superior;

    informalhigh and mighty, too big for one’s britches, too big for one’s boots, big-headed, puffed up;
    rarehubristic
    “success has made him arrogant”

These elected representatives arrogance multiplied with every year they are in office. They start believing they  are somehow our masters. Our “leaders”. Perhaps because some voters seem to bestow the title of leader upon them through ignorance.

With the exception of the President and the Governor, nearly every person serving in elected office is a representative. An employee of the voters. And they serve at the pleasure of the voters. And when they reach the point in their self absorbed arrogance where they think they are above the voters, where they are no longer beholden to the voters because they have served so long they believe themselves untouchable, along comes that bitter taste of Humble Pie when the voters throw them out on their ear. Eric Cantor is a perfect example of that arrogance.

Too big to fail.

Usually that phrase “too big to fail” is reserved for banks and institutions that hold a lot of economic cards. But elected officials believe that they, too reach a point where they are too big to fail. Too important to lose an election.

I reached the point with Eric Cantor a couple of years before he was tossed out by a strong majority of voters where I could no longer support him. I began writing my feelings in these blog posts about the arrogance and his failure to vote the will of the people who put him in office. I reminded him over and over that he was employed at the will of the voters.

Just after Cantor’s last victory in 2012, I was done with him and his arrogance. And sent out a warning that was carried to him by at least one former Delegate. And he blew the warning off in this post that I wrote a month after the 2012 election:

Since the election, I have been hoping that I would be wrong, that history would not repeat itself. Now there was little hope that Speaker John Boehner would provide leadership to once again position Republicans as the standard-bearers for the Constitution and it’s Conservative, Free-Market ideals. Boehner is a squishy liberal in Republican garb that has sold out the country and the Republican Conservatives time and again.

I had no such hope for Boehner. But I thought there was a glimmer of hope for my Congressman, Majority Leader Eric Cantor. But Cantor, too, turned his back on the Conservatives and was not only a willing participant in the efforts to purge all remnants of Fiscal Conservationism from the GOP, he was a ring leader.

And absent a radical and immediate change, Cantor has lost my vote. The numerous speeches I have listened to from the Majority Leader have all been lies. He has no intention of restoring fiscal sanity to the nation and is only interested ion holding onto power for as long as he can.

Republicans did not lose this election because they were too far to the right. They lost because they alienated too many Conservatives by running yet another liberal candidate for President. Conservatives refused to vote for Mitt Romney. They didn’t vote for Barack Obama, that’s for sure. But the stayed home just as they did with John McCain. The only reason George W. Bush won election was that the Democrats managed to find two candidates that were even worse.

And it was really hard to find a candidate worse than Obama, but Republicans have managed. Twice.

The last few years I have been working within the Republican Party to help move things back to the path the founders, and more recently Ronald Reagan laid out. A number of my friends called me crazy for trying. I now admit that they were right and I was wrong.

The leadership of the Republican Party on a National level can’t be fixed because they are too blind to realize they are broken.

I tried. I gave it the best I had (along with a lot of other people). And I failed to make a dent.

On a personal level, I resigned my seat on my local Republican Executive Committee. I cannot in good faith continue to support a jobs program for Republicans like Eric Cantor that talk the talk, but the minute they fear for their jobs, they eliminate the only members of important committees that are more interested in fixing American than personal gain.

And I finished the post with this promise:

Now what my readers can expect from here on is an open and honest truly independent Conservative point of view. I have overlooked Republican transgressions more times than I have those from Democrats.

If you are looking for a Republican rubber stamp perspective and undeserved accolades and endorsements, those will not be found here.

And I am not planning to start a Conservative Party, but if the idea happens to catch on, I will be in the mix. But I will no longer blindly follow “leaders” who tell you one thing to your face and do the opposite behind your back

And I would have to say, much to the chagrin of the Republican Committee that has been at war with Conservatives, I have held true to that promise.

And I will say that I am seeing the same patterns of arrogance with some of Hanover’s elected representatives. Last night the Mechanicsville TEA Party held a forum that was supposed to include the candidates in the 97th House District. And Chris Peace, the incumbent, did not show up. His challenger, Erica Lawler impressed the attendees with her knowledge and intelligence acording to one of the attendees. And tonight, the challenger in the Mechanicsville District for the Hanover Board of Supervisors seat Glenn Millican will hold an open meeting at the Mechanicsville Library at 7 PM without Canova Peterson. Millican and Peterson had a debate hosted by the Mechanicsville TEA Party that, in my opinion, Peterson lost badly. Read the coverage here. I thought my head would explode when Peterson defended the elimination of proffers and $52 million by saying the county lost nothing because the money wasn’t actually payable yet. And besides, they really never collect the full amount due.

I thought my head would explode on that one.

So when our Republicans incumbents refuse to debate and defend / explain their records, in essence what they are doing is refusing to submit to a performance review by their boss. We the people.

So they will use scheduling conflicts as an excuse, or pretend there was a failure actually schedule the debate as was the case with Peace. And there was absolutely no effort on the part of either of these men to facilitate another date. Which is the first hint that they are ducking the debate.

As I predicted in 2012, Cantor’s arrogance would be his downfall. And that followed by Boehner’s downfall as the dominoes continue to fall.

And I predict that both Chris Peace and Canova Peterson are on their way out because they have reached the same point that Eric Cantor did in his egotistic belief that he was invincible. It may or may not be this election, but this is the same shot across the bow I gave Eric Cantor.

And as Chris Peace and Canova Peterson read this post, if you need proof of your own arrogance, I would ask you both when you reach this point of this post, are you feeling ashamed at your own arrogance and thinking you need to start remembering that you work for us? Or are you directing your ire towards me, the messenger?

I know the answer. It is the same answer Eric Cantor arrived at.

Arrogance prevails. Until it doesn’t.


Article written by: Tom White

Rick Perry Polling At 30%!

For those of you who have woken up every morning, checking the polling of your favorite candidate in the middle of August, please allow me to serve as your honorary health professional. Don’t panic! Don’t let your blood pressure build. September polling doesn’t matter. In the first week of September, 2011, Rick Perry was polling at 30%, Mitt Romney at 23%, Michele Bachmann at 12%, and Ron Paul at 7%. By primary day in Virginia, only Mitt Romney and Ron Paul were on the ballot. Ron Paul got 40% of the vote.

rickperry_5In the third week of October in 2011, a CBS/New York Times poll showed Herman Cain was polling at 25% and Mitt Romney at 21%,

By November, Public Policy Polling showed Newt Gingrich in the lead with 28%, Herman Cain at 25%, Mitt Romney at 18%, and Rick Perry at 6%. Perry went from 30% to 6% in two months.

There’s reason to think that if Cain continues to fade, Gingrich will continue to gain. Among Cain’s supporters 73% have a favorable opinion of Gingrich to only 21% with a negative one. That compares to a 33/55 spread for Romney with Cain voters and a 32/53 one for Perry.
That’s some hard hitting analysis right there. Pretty predictive of the final outcome, no? Well, don’t worry Rick Santorum fans, because it’s only November! From November 2011 to February 2012, the Republican Electorate flip-flopped, by wide margins, between Gingrich and Romney. Gingrich at one point enjoyed a 21 point spread. At another point, Romney enjoyed a 25 point spread. Then, in what has become the fashion for the Republican Electorate, mid-February issued a new turn of events. February 11th, Rick Santorum blew through the establishment ceiling with Trump-like numbers, polling at an unstoppable 38%!. Again, from Public Policy Polling:
Riding a wave of momentum from his trio of victories on Tuesday Rick Santorum has opened up a wide lead in PPP’s newest national poll. He’s at 38% to 23% for Mitt Romney, 17% for Newt Gingrich, and 13% for Ron Paul. Part of the reason for Santorum’s surge is his own high level of popularity. 64% of voters see him favorably to only 22% with a negative one. But the other, and maybe more important, reason is that Republicans are significantly souring on both Romney and Gingrich. Romney’s favorability is barely above water at 44/43, representing a 23 point net decline from our December national poll when he as +24 (55/31). Gingrich has fallen even further. A 44% plurality of GOP voters now hold a negative opinion of him to only 42% with a positive one. That’s a 34 point drop from 2 months ago when he was at +32 (60/28).

The Iowa Caucus were held in January. This is important to note, because Rick Santorum’s Iowa Caucus victory may not have propelled him to the Republican Nomination, but it did catapult him in the polls. In New Hampshire, Mitt Romney beat out Ron Paul and Jon Huntsman. This second place finish in New Hampshire kept the Paul Campaign alive. By February, Ron Paul was behind the three most consistently well-polling candidates (Gingrich, Romney, and Santorum). So New Hampshire matters, but it doesn’t guarantee victory. In South Carolina, Newt Gingrich got 40% of the vote! Again, we’re still seeing the same top 4 candidates. But be assured, South Carolina won’t nominate the same candidate Iowa or New Hampshire nominate.
Two Months later, by April 2012, Mitt Romney was polling in the 50% range, with comfortable 30 point spreads.

Don’t worry so much about September polls. Follow your candidates. You want them polling in the top 3 in Iowa, top 4 in New Hampshire, and top 5 in South Carolina by January. The Iowa Caucus will be held in February next year. Until then, if you really want to judge the quality of your favorite candidates, follow these 5 important measures: 1. Fund-raising from small donors. 2. Do they have active campaign teams set up? and in how many States? 3. On how many States are they on the ballot? 4. Are they running a quality campaign? 5. Are they mired in turmoil?

It’s September 1st. If your candidate of choice is raking in large amounts of small donor contributions, are active in the majority of early states, have campaign teams and staffs in those states, are actively working to get on the ballots, are focused, on message, and free of disastrous political blunders, then you’re candidate is going to be just fine. Don’t panic. Breathe. For the love of God, turn off Fox News and take some evening walks with your spouse or your trusty canine companion. 2016 isn’t here yet.


Article written by: Steven Brodie Tucker

If Joe Biden Wins in 2016 Who Would Be President?

If Joe Biden Wins in 2016 Who Would Be President?

A powerful point to ponder. Joe Biden is a completely empty suit with an even emptier head. (Grammar police go away!)

Good old Uncle Joe would be somebody’s puppet because there is no way he is intelligent enough to run a country. Or anything for that matter.

Who would that puppet master be?


Article written by: Tom White