Category Archives: Delegates

Polls: Trump +16 in California (172 Delegates) and +12 in Arizona (58 Delegates)

Mathematically, Ted Cruz needs 87% of the remaining delegates to reach the 1,237 needed to become the nominee.

Two new polls show some bad news for Cruz.

In California, Landslide/NSON shows Donald Trump with 38.3% of the vote and Ted Cruz with just 22.4%. And with less than 10% undecided, there will not be a lot of late deciders.

The only other poll taken in California this year showed Trump up by 5% so his lead seems to be building in this state with 172 delegates.

 

In a second new poll taken in Arizona by Merrill Poll, Donald Trump has a 12% lead over second place Ted Cruz. Trump has 31% to Cruz 19%. There are a high number of undecideds in this poll – 30% – so there will be a number of late deciders.

A previous poll taken a little over a week ago showed Trump with a 17% lead, but with fewer undecideds. Both Trump and Cruz were lower in this poll than the Merrill Poll. Perhaps an indication that voters are moving from decided to undecided.

All of these polls were taken prior to Trump’s dominating performance on Tuesday night winning 5 of 6 contests while Cruz won zero.


Article written by: Tom White

STOP Medicaid Expansion: We Must RE-ELECT Delegate Buddy Fowler

Last night, in Beaverdam, Virginia, the Patrick Henry Tea Party hosted a fantastic candidates forum with Delegate Buddy Fowler, Jr and his Democrat opponent Toni Radler for Delegate, 55th District. Many issues were discussed: Higher Eduction, Taxes, Sludge, the 2nd Amendment, local Food Freedom, Common Core, the troubling behind-closed-doors meetings of the Hanover Board of Supervisors leading to the end of Proffers, Education Funding, Coal Subsidies, a new Nuclear reactor in Lake Anna, Campaign Donations, and the Convention of the States. But the most important difference between these two candidates is their positions on Medicaid Expansion.

Expanding Medicaid in Virginia is Toni Radler’s central plank. Radler argued that Virginia loses 2 billion dollars a year by refusing to expand the entitlement, adding that Medicaid Expansion would also bring thousands of new, high paying jobs to Virginia. Increasing education spending was her second biggest issue, arguing that future job growth in Virginia depends on higher spending on Education by our State government.

Delegate Fowler remains committed to preventing Medicaid Expansion in Virginia, arguing that it would end up consuming our State budget in the years to come. When Toni Radler confirmed that she would not vote for tax increases, Delegate Fowler argued that she would have to if she expanded Medicaid in Virginia. Mr. Fowler also demonstrated that increasing education spending is only half the battle. The most important focus, and his focus over the last two years in Richmond, has been to get more education dollars into our classrooms.

Buddy-FowlerWhile Delegate Fowler represents my interests on the vast majority of issues, it is his opponents promise to bankrupt Richmond with Medicaid Expansion that makes this election crystal clear. We cannot afford to lose a single vote in the House of Delegates on this issue. We all know that Governor McAuliffe is committed to finding some way to expand Medicaid, and putting Toni Radler in the House of Delegates would do exactly that.

Therefore, not only do I endorse Buddy Fowler for Delegate, it is absolutely imperative that the citizens of Caroline, Spotsylvania, and Hanover in the 55th District get out to the polls on November 3rd, and cast their vote against Medicaid Expansion and reelect Buddy Fowler to the House of Delegates.


Article written by: Steven Brodie Tucker

What? Is It True? YES. Virginia Right Blogger is looking for VA Legislator to Introduce Better Ballot Access Bill!

Sometimes things just happen!  Thurgood Marshall (brilliantly acted by Sidney Poitier) in the HBO movie was quoted as saying, “Sometimes history takes matters into its own hands.”  (The Marshall character was referring to the fact that the federal court in South Carolina forced the NAACP to fight not just separate but patently unequal schools but segregation itself)  I don’t believe in a personification of history like that; I believe in the Lord Jesus Christ.  But sometimes, the Lord leads us in directions we did not fully intend!

Well, that’s how I feel right now.  I was cited (absolutely correctly) in Ballot Access News about the scandalous situation where 61 members of the House of Delegates have no opponent (and 15 senators join them in that club) and I was going to discuss the matter with a legislator and bring up better ballot access.  I needed Winger’s wonderful chart on ballot access.  So here it is – the pertinent part of the posting (hat tip and thanks to Richard Winger – the nation’s expert on the subject):

This year over half of the races have only one candidate on the ballot. For the 100 House races, only one person is on the ballot in 63 districts. For the State Senate, only one person is on the ballot in 15 of the 40 races. Thanks to Sandy Sanders for this information. Sanders is working to find a sponsor for a bill in next year’s session to ease the definition of “political party.”

I was in error – it’s 61 districts not 63 – but that is hardly a triumph for democracy!

So here’s what I proposed to the legislator:

Let’s first change the ten percent threshold to five of the vote in a statewide election for a party to stay on the ballot; only Alabama (20%), New Jersey (10% of the votes for the lower house of the state legislature) and Oklahoma (10%) have 10 or more percent of the statewide vote required in an election to get major party status.

Second, let’s stop this insane way that statewide candidates from other parties get ballot access for one election cycle:  10,000 signatures for EACH candidate.  If the Libertarians or Independent Greens wanted to run a slate of hopefuls for Governor, Lt. Governor and Attorney General, they would need a minimum of 30,000 signatures (and actually more because you need a cushion to ensure you got enough) to get the slate on the ballot.  That means the guy or gal with the clipboard needs to get three signatures when he or she interrupts you at the Post Office or the DMV or the Kroger (probably without permission in that case!) for a signature.

Let’s do THIS instead:  The PARTY seeks the signatures one ONE petition to get ballot access for ALL of its candidates for the next four years (remember, if a party gets ten percent, it gets ballot access for the next two statewide elections – that could be based on some interpretations eight years – but most think it is four years – not just the election cycle it gets the signatures in!) and the signature requirement might be higher – say 15,000 or maybe 20,000.  The trade off for more work is greater reward.  That ballot access would be for all races, state, local or federal.

That will require legislation.  I plan to ask another member of the General Assembly this in the next day or two.  But others can steal my idea.  Please do.  I hope for members of both parties to support this in light of the proposal by the Republican state central committee (a private organization) to restrict primary ballot access to those candidates who pledge to support the winner and not run third party.

The vote (with ID or not) means little if your choices are only one as in 61 of the House of Delegates districts.  So I’ll take it on:  Better ballot access in the Commonwealth.  After all, to quote another classic movie:  You fight for the lost causes harder than for any others.  Let’s fight hard and make it a victorious cause!


Article written by: Elwood "Sandy" Sanders