The Vatican confirmed in a letter sent in August it was prepared to help facilitate dialogue between Venezuela’s ruling party and forces opposed to the presidency of Nicolás Maduro.
While the opposition says that
“We are prepared to talk with anyone as long as the time frames for a referendum on a change of president in Venezuela are respected,”
the fact remains that any “talks” will favor the regime, since it buys it time.
Once the Vatican-approved “talks” (much like the Cuba-U.S. easement, and the FARC-Colombian government negotiations) start, the opposition would be pretty much coerced into continuing “talking”, regardless of the referendum time frame.
The problem is, the country is in a crisis such that only further oppression will continue the regime. For instance,
Long-term readersof my blog are familiar with the many times China has loaned money to Venezuela. Back in 2012, I posted that El Nuevo Herald reported
Venezuela’s increasingly dependent on China’s financing and direct investments to the tune of US$80 billion. In exchange, China is playing a greater part on Venezuela’s strategic decision making regarding especially the oil-producing Orinoco area.
Clearly by now Venezuela (which by now can’t even pay its oil drillers) won’t pay the billions of dollars back:
These days, confronted with a pile of unpaid bills and increasing security headaches for its citizens and companies in Venezuela, China appears to be recalculating its alliance with the nation where it has made about $60 billion in loans.
There are also security concerns, as more Chinese Venezuelans and expats are being kidnapped and extorted by local gangs (likely including the government-armed colectivos).
It’s not clear how many expats are living in Venezuela at the moment. Eight years ago, Daniel Duquenal reported on the large number of Chinese traveling on his flight from Paris who were rushed through customs upon arrival in Caracas.
21st Century Socialist Bolivarian Revolutions need money, and China is aware that the Venezuela regime can not survive without it – now the Chinese may be agreeable to negotiating with the opposition for a possible regime change.
Donald Trump’s recent visit to Mexico, widely seen in the country as a humiliation, claimed a high-profile political victim on Wednesday with the resignation of Finance Minister Luis Videgaray, President Enrique Peña Nieto’s closest adviser.
Mr. Videgaray, who played a key role in helping orchestrate the Trump trip, was succeeded by José Antonio Meade, the country’s social development minister and former finance chief, Mr. Peña Nieto told a news conference.
When I first heard that Peña Nieto’s had invited both Hillary and The Donald, I imagined that Enrique expected two no-shows. Now I can imagine a conversation in the likes of,
Luis: Let’s get Hillary here so you and her can beat up Trump on immigration.
Enrique: Great idea!
where neither Luis nor Enrique took into account that a. Hillary’s not placing herself into any situation she can not control, b. she’s better off running out the clock until election day, and c. no [Clinton Foundation donation] money, no honey.
Prior to Trump’s visit, this week Mexican media had been obsessing over the sudden death of singer Juan Gabriel. The visit erased Juan Gabriel’s name from the headlines, and replaced it with Trump’s. Grief turned into wrath.
Twitter lit up like the hay truck in Breaking Bad,
while the TV talking heads and newspapers joined in.
The Marxist narco-terrorrist guerrilla get seats in Congress, and much everything else it wanted:
The accord calls for the state to work with the FARC to mitigate drug trafficking in areas where the guerrillas had influence; permits the rebel group to transform into a political party; establishes a system to investigate war crimes by both rebels and military personnel; and lays out how to compensate victims.
Under the deal, three former rebels would serve in the lower house of congress and three in the senate in a nonvoting capacity, permitting the ex-combatants to have a say in the implementation of the accords, said Sen. Manuel Enriquez Rosero, a Liberty Party politician who supports the process. In the 2018 congressional elections, the FARC would be guaranteed at least five seats in the house and five in the senate, said Sen. Antonio Navarro Wolff, himself a former rebel. The mechanism to permit former rebels to have that many seats will necessitate a constitutional reform that was agreed upon in Havana.